Home » How Often Do Second Favourites Win Horse Races?

How Often Do Second Favourites Win Horse Races?

A second favourite is a horse that has the second-highest odds of winning a race. It is the horse that bookmakers believe has the second-best chance of winning the race, behind the favourite. It is important to note that the second favourite is not necessarily the second-best horse in the race; it is simply the horse with the second-best betting odds.

What Factors Influence a Horse’s Odds?

The odds of a horse winning a race are determined by a number of factors, including its performance in previous races, its pedigree, the number of competitors in the race, the type of race, and the track conditions. In addition, the opinion of the bookmakers and the betting public also has an influence on the odds.

Do Second Favourites Win Races?

Yes, second favourites can and do win races. In fact, some of the most famous and successful racehorses of all time, such as Secretariat and Northern Dancer, began their careers as second favourites.

How Often Do Second Favourites Win Races?

The exact percentage of races that are won by the second favourite varies depending on the race, track, and other factors. However, it is generally accepted that second favourites win between 10 and 20 percent of races.

What Are the Advantages of Betting on a Second Favourite?

Betting on a second favourite offers a number of advantages. Firstly, the odds of the second favourite are usually lower than that of the favourite, meaning that a bettor can potentially receive a larger payout if the second favourite wins. Secondly, the second favourite is less likely to be the target of heavy betting, meaning that it is less likely to be overbet and its odds can potentially increase.

Related content  What Degree Does A Race Engineer Need?

What Are the Risks of Betting on a Second Favourite?

While betting on a second favourite can be profitable, it also carries some risks. Firstly, the second favourite may not be the best horse in the race and may not have the best chance of winning. Secondly, the second favourite may not be the target of heavy betting and its odds may not increase as expected. Finally, the second favourite may be overbet and its odds may decrease.

What Should I Consider Before Betting on a Second Favourite?

Before betting on a second favourite, it is important to consider the following factors:

Performance in Previous Races

It is important to consider the performance of the second favourite in previous races. How has the horse performed? Has it been consistently successful? Has it been improving?

Pedigree

It is also important to consider the pedigree of the second favourite. Does it have any successful siblings? Does it have a successful sire and/or dam?

Number of Competitors

It is important to consider the number of competitors in the race. Does the second favourite have a good chance of winning if the race is highly competitive?

Type of Race

It is also important to consider the type of race. Is the second favourite suited to the type of race?

Track Conditions

Finally, it is important to consider the track conditions. Is the second favourite suited to the track conditions?

Conclusion

Second favourites can and do win races. However, it is important to consider a number of factors before betting on a second favourite. By considering these factors, bettors can increase their chances of success and potentially receive a larger payout.